2022 FCSM Research and Policy Conference Update
Registration is now open! You can register for the conference here. The Early Bird rate of $250 ends September 30 so register soon!
The 2022 FCSM Conference will feature two plenary sessions, one on Tuesday morning and one on Wednesday morning. The two plenary speakers are Robert Santos, U.S. Census Bureau and Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard University. The program is now posted on FCSM2022.org.
Call for Nominations for the Board of Scientific Counselors at NCHS
The National Center for Health Statistics is currently seeking nominations to serve on their Board of Scientific Counselors. The BSC, NCHS consists of up to 15 experts including the Chair in fields associated with statistical, demographic, and epidemiological research, such as biostatistics/biometry, survey methodology and polling, sociology, reproductive health, minority health, nutrition, social and behavioral health sciences, and population-based public and environmental health; public health practice, e.g., state and local health data systems; operations research, health policy, and health services research, including health economics and econometrics; provision of health services, e.g., medicine, nursing, rehabilitation, other allied health care, and preventive medicine; health quality measurement and health indicators; health promotion; medical informatics; and data and health information security, storage, confidentiality, and dissemination.
Nominations for membership on the BSC, NCHS must be received no later than October 14, 2022. Packages received after this time will not be considered for the current membership cycle.
All nominations should be emailed to NCHS-BSCmail@cdc.gov.
COPAFS Quarterly Meeting: September 9
COPAFS will hold its next Quarterly Meeting on Friday, September 9, 2022. The agenda is now available.
2022 FCSM Research and Policy Conference: October 25-27
The 2022 FCSM Research and Policy Conference has been scheduled for October 25-27, 2022. Register for the conference here. The theme for the conference is “Great Expectations: New Directions and Innovations for Sustainable Federal Statistics.” The conference is being planned as an in-person event at the Washington Convention Center. The program for the conference is also available at FCSM2022.org.
2022 APPAM Fall Research Conference: November 17-19
The 2022 APPAM Fall Research Conference will take place in Washington, DC. For more information, click here.
Bureau of Economic Analysis (DOC)
- On August 25, Gross Domestic Product (Second Estimate) and Corporate Profits (Preliminary), Second Quarter 2022 were released. Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 0.6 percent in the second quarter of 2022. In the first quarter, real GDP decreased 1.6 percent. The GDP estimate is based on more complete source data than were available for the “advance” estimate issued last month. In the advance estimate, the decrease in real GDP was 0.9 percent. The update primarily reflects upward revisions to consumer spending and private inventory investment that were partly offset by a downward revision to residential fixed investment.
- On August 19, Activities of US Affiliates of Foreign Multinational Enterprises, 2020 was released. Majority-owned U.S. affiliates (MOUSAs) of foreign multinational enterprises (MNEs) employed 7.86 million workers in the United States in 2020, a 2.8 percent decrease from 8.08 million workers in 2019, according to statistics on MOUSA operations and finances. MOUSAs accounted for 6.4 percent of total private-industry employment in the United States in 2020, up from 6.1 percent in 2019, as total private-industry employment fell more than MOUSA employment. By industry, employment by MOUSAs was largest in manufacturing and in retail trade. MOUSAs with ultimate owners in the United Kingdom, Japan, and Germany were the largest contributors to total MOUSA employment.
Bureau of Justice Statistics (DOJ)
- On July 28, Tribal Crime Data Collection Activities, 2022 was released. From fiscal year (FY) 2016 to FY 2021, BJS awarded six grants totaling $1.6 million to tribes to improve and automate their criminal history records and databases. At midyear 2020, 42% of persons held in Indian country jails were held for violent offenses. Among American Indian and Alaska Native (AIAN) persons released from state prison in 2008 across 24 states, 79% were arrested within 5 years and 85% were arrested within 10 years.
- On July 26, Federal Deaths in Custody and During Arrest, 2020 Statistical Tables were released. Federal law enforcement agencies reported 65 arrest-related deaths and 614 deaths in custody in fiscal year (FY) 2020. Homicides accounted for 47% of the 65 arrest-related deaths in FY 2020, suicides accounted for 26%, and deaths from natural causes or accidents each accounted for 13%. In FY 2020, about 89% of decedents in arrest-related deaths were male, 69% were white, and 62% were ages 25 to 44.
Bureau of Labor Statistics (DOL)
- On August 24, County Employment and Wages – First Quarter 2022 was released. From March 2021 to March 2022, employment increased in 349 of the 355 largest U.S. counties. In March 2022, national employment increased to 147.6 million, a 5.0-percent increase over the year, as measured by the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) program. Clark, NV, had the largest over-the-year increase in employment, with a gain of 12.5 percent. Employment data in this release are presented for March 2022, and average weekly wage data are presented for first quarter 2022.
- On August 19, the State Employment and Unemployment – July 2022 was released. Unemployment rates were lower in July in 14 states and the District of Columbia, higher in 3 states, and stable in 33 states. All 50 states and the District had jobless rate decreases from a year earlier. The national unemployment rate edged down to 3.5 percent over the month and was 1.9 percentage points lower than in July 2021.
Bureau of Transportation Statistics (DOT)
- On August 11, the May 2022 US Airline Traffic Data was released. U.S. airlines carried 71.2 million systemwide (domestic and international) scheduled service passengers in May 2022, seasonally adjusted, down 0.7% from April. BTS reported 62.8 million domestic passengers and 8.3 million international passengers on flights by U.S. airlines in May. U.S. airline traffic reports are filed monthly with BTS.
- On August 10, the US Airline Employees Headcount – June 2022 was released. U.S. airline industry (passenger and cargo airlines combined) employment increased to 767,263 workers in June 2022, 6,775 (0.89%) more workers than in May 2022 (760,488) and 23,893 (3.21%) more than in pre-pandemic June 2019 (743,370). U.S. scheduled-service passenger airlines employed 484,773 workers in June or 64% of the industry-wide total. Passenger airlines added 6,851 employees in June for a fourteenth consecutive month of job growth dating back to May 2021. Delta led scheduled passenger carriers, adding 2,981 employees; United Airlines added 1,322 employees, and Southwest Airlines added 1,007. U.S. cargo airlines employed 278,462 workers in June, 36% of the industry total. Cargo carriers added 605 employees in June. FedEx, the leading air cargo employer, increased employment by 417 jobs.
Census Bureau (DOC)
- On August 16, results from the Post-Enumeration Survey for Puerto Rico from the 2020 Census were released. According to the PES, the 2020 Census overcounted the Puerto Rico population by 5.7% or 174,000 people. This was not statistically different from the 4.5% overcount in the 2010 Census. The estimated rate of erroneous enumerations in the 2020 Census was 9.8% or 319,000. This includes an estimated 9.1% or 294,000 duplicate records. The PES estimated an overcount of people in owned housing units by 8.6%. Renters did not have a statistically significant undercount or overcount.
- The Census Bureau will host a webinar on the release of 2021 ACS 1-Year Estimates on September 8 at 2:00pm Eastern. The webinar will explain how to access data and online resources from the 2021 American Community Survey (ACS) set to be publicly released on Sept. 15. The webinar will also provide tips for comparing ACS geographies and statistics over time. Embargo subscribers will have access to these statistics from Tuesday, Sept. 13, at 10 a.m. EDT, to Sept. 15, at 12:01 a.m. EDT.
Economic Research Service (USDA)
- In August, a report on China’s Import Potential for Beek, Corn, Pork, and Wheat was released. China’s beef prices were about 80–90 percent higher than U.S. imported beef prices in 2020 despite rapid growth in imports. Even with China’s record-level corn imports in 2020, the country’s domestic prices were still 60 percent above average imported U.S. corn prices. The margin between China’s and imported U.S. pork prices soared to 200–300 percent of U.S. prices, due largely to a disease-driven reduction in China’s domestic pork supplies in 2020.
- In August, Time Series Methods for Forecasting and Modeling Uncertainty in the Food Price Outlook was released. This study found substantial gains in forecasting accuracy from implementing time-series econometric techniques, as measured by root-mean-squared error values. Moreover, the new statistical methods (hereafter referred to as “time-series approach”) led to several qualitative benefits and improvements to the efficiency of developing the FPO forecasts. In addition to enhancing standardization, transparency, and reproducibility, the study results indicate the time-series approach may advance the representation of uncertainty about forecasts in a variety of ways.
Energy Information Administration (DOE)
- On August 29, the Coal Data Browser and Electricity Data Browser were released.
- On August 22, the OPEC Revenues Fact Sheet was released. OPEC members earned about $570 billion in net oil export revenue (in 2021 dollars) in 2021. OPEC’s 2021 net revenue is a 78% increase from 2020, when OPEC net oil export revenue totaled an estimated $320 billion, which was the lowest revenue since 2003. The increase in net export revenue in 2021 can be attributed to a combination of increased OPEC production and higher crude oil prices during the year. In 2021, OPEC increased production as OPEC+ production targets rose; total liquids production among all OPEC producers rose to 31.7 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2021 from 30.7 million b/d in 2020. Crude oil prices also rose as global oil consumption outpaced oil production, resulting in persistent withdrawals from global oil inventories. The increase in oil consumption in 2021 occurred as economic activity increased and the global economy began to return to pre-COVID-19 conditions.
National Agricultural Statistics Service (USDA)
- On August 29, details for the upcoming 2022 Census of Agriculture were released. The 2022 Census of Agriculture will be mailed in phases, starting with an invitation to respond online in November followed by paper questionnaires in December. Farm operations of all sizes, urban and rural, which produced and sold, or normally would have sold, $1,000 or more of agricultural product in 2022 are included in the ag census. “Census of Agriculture data are widely used by federal and local governments, agribusinesses, trade associations, extension educators, and many others to inform decisions about policy and farm programs and services that aid producers and rural communities,” said NASS Administrator Hubert Hamer. “By responding to the Census of Agriculture – by being represented in these important data – producers are literally helping to shape their futures.”
- On August 12, the Crop Production Report was released. The report forecasted corn production down from 2021 and soybean production up from last year. Corn production is down 5% from last year, forecast at 14.4 billion bushels; soybean growers are expected to increase their production 2% from 2021, forecast at 4.53 billion bushels. Average corn yield is forecast at 175.4 bushels per acre, down 1.6 bushels from last year. NASS forecasts record-high yields in California, Iowa, Washington, and Wisconsin. Acres planted to corn, at 89.8 million, are down 4% from 2021. As of July 31, 61% of this year’s corn crop was reported in good or excellent condition, 1 percentage point below the same time last year.
National Center for Education Statistics (DOEd)
- On August 16, the Revised SY2021-22 Common Core of Data with Preliminary Data Files was released. The total number of students reported to be attending public elementary and secondary schools in the United States in fall 2021 was unchanged compared to fall 2020, according to preliminary data released today by the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) within the U.S. Department of Education’s Institute of Education Sciences (IES). “Compared with fall 2020, total public school enrollment in prekindergarten through grade 12 was unchanged in fall 2021, with 49.4 million students enrolled in fall 2020 and 49.5 million students in fall 2021,” said NCES Commissioner Peggy G. Carr. “However, there were changes in enrollment when you look at individual grade levels. Prekindergarten enrollment rose by 14 percent, and enrollment of kindergarteners rose by 5 percent, while public school enrollment counts in each of the grades 1 through 7 decreased.”
- On August 23, the 2021-2022 IPEDS Fall Data Release – Provisional Release was made public.
National Center for Health Statistics (CDC)
- On August 29, Births in the US, 2021 was released. The number of births in the United States rose 1% from 2020 to 2021, following a decline of 4% from 2019 to 2020. The general fertility rate, which declined 4% from 2019 to 2020, also rose 1%, from 55.7 births per 1,000 females aged 15–44 in 2020 to 56.3 in 2021. Following declines in birth rates for most age groups from 2019 to 2020, birth rates declined for age groups 15–19 and 20–24 and rose for age groups 25–29, 30–34, 35–39, and 40–44 between 2020 and 2021.
- On August 11, Organized Sports Participation Among Children Aged 6-17 Years: US, 2020 was released. In 2020, 54.1% of children aged 6–17 years participated in sports during the past 12 months. The higher the level of parents’ education, the more likely children and adolescents were to participate in sports. As family income increased, the more likely children and adolescents were to participate in sports.
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics (NSF)
- On August 29, Digitization, Cloud Computing, and Innovation in US Businesses was released. This working paper examines differences in the rate of digitalization across industry, firm size class, and location along with how digitalization and cloud computing is associated with different types of innovation. Digitalization—the conversion of text, pictures, video, or sound into a digital form that can be processed by a computer and often referred to as the Fourth Industrial Revolution—has been occurring since the widespread adoption of computers by businesses. The introduction of cloud computing can help to accelerate the digital transition by replacing large capital expenditures on information technology (IT) with IT infrastructure, support, and software as a pay-as-you-go service. The introduction of the cloud may thus reduce the cost of experimenting with new ways of doing business reliant on digitalization, and this phenomenon may be observed in the data on innovation.
- On August 9, the Baccalaureate Origins of Underrepresented Minority Research Doctorate Recipients was released. Extending prior analyses, this InfoBrief examines the baccalaureate origins of doctorate recipients from 2010–20 by citizenship status, race, and ethnicity. Black, Hispanic, and AIAN doctorate recipients from 2010–20 disproportionately earned a bachelor’s degree from minority-serving institutions, underscoring the importance of these colleges and universities for enhancing the diversity of the U.S. research enterprise. Although most Black and Hispanic doctorate recipients earned a bachelor’s degree from public colleges and universities, a higher proportion of Black and Hispanic students with undergraduate degrees from private colleges and universities went on to earn a research doctorate.
Statistics of Income Division (IRS)
- In August, Federal Excise Taxes, Fiscal Year 2021 was released. The data table, “Federal Excise Taxes or Fees Reported to or Collected by the Internal Revenue Service, Alcohol and Tobacco Tax and Trade Bureau, and Customs Service, by Type of Excise Tax,” has been updated with Fiscal Year 2021 data and is now available on SOI’s Tax Stats webpage. Federal excise tax data are available beginning from Fiscal Year 1999.
- In August, Late-May Filing Season Statistics by AGI, Tax Year 2021 was released. A table providing data collected from U. S. Individual Income Tax Returns (Forms 1040) filed and processed through May 26, 2022, for Tax Year 2021 is now available on SOI’s Tax Stats Web page. These data include selected income items, adjustments, credits, and taxes, by size of adjusted gross income.
Federal Register Notices
There were 13 federal register notices posted by federal statistical agencies July 26, 2022 to August 25, 2022. Links to each of these notices are organized by agency below.
Bureau of Economic Analysis (DOC) – No New Notices
Bureau of Justice Statistics (DOJ) – No New Notices
Bureau of Labor Statistics (DOL) – 1 New Notice
|8/24/2022||Updating Spending Weights Annually Based on a Single Calendar Year of Data – Consumer Price Index”||Link|
Bureau of Justice Statistics (DOT) – No New Notices
Census Bureau (DOC) – 6 New Notices
|8/22/2022||Census Scientific Advisory Committee – September 29-30, 2022||Link|
|8/22/2022||Agency Information Collection Activities; Submission to the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) for Review and Approval; Comment Request; Survey of Income and Program Participation||Link|
|8/18/2022||2020 Census Tribal Consultation; Virtual Public Meeting||Link|
|8/18/2022||Agency Information Collection Activities; Submission to the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) for Review and Approval; Comment Request; National Sample Survey of Registered Nurses||Link|
|8/17/2022||Soliciting Input or Suggestions on 2030 Census Preliminary Research||Link|
|7/26/2022||Agency Information Collection Activities; Submission to the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) for Review and Approval; Comment Request; Generic Clearance for Census Bureau Field Tests and Evaluations||Link|
Economic Research Service (USDA) – No New Notices
Energy Information Administration (DOE) – No New Notices
National Agricultural Statistics Service (USDA) – No New Notices
National Center for Education Statistics (DOEd) – 4 New Notices
|8/24/2022||Notice of Meeting of the National Assessment Governing Board’s Executive Committee||Link|
|8/22/2022||Agency Information Collection Activities; Submission to the Office of Management and Budget for Review and Approval; Comment Request; National Public Education Financial Survey (NPEFS) 2022-2024||Link|
|8/8/2022||Applications for Selection as a Performance Partnership Pilot; Performance Partnership Pilots for Disconnected Youth||Link|
|8/2/2022||Agency Information Collection Activities; Comment Request; National Teacher and Principal Survey of 2023-2024 (NTPS 2023-24) Preliminary Field Activities||Link|
National Center for Health Statistics (HHS) – 1 New Notice
|8/22/2022||Solicitation of Nominations for Appointment to the Board of Scientific Counselors, National Center for Health Statistics (BSC, NCHS)||Link|
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics (NSF) – 1 New Notice
|7/26/2022||Agency Information Collection Activities: Comment Request – NCSES Generic Clearance for Improvement Projects.||Link|
Office of Research, Evaluation & Statistics (SSA) – No New Notices
Statistics of Income Division (IRS) – No New Notices